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EUR/USD ended last week again in retreat before bouncing slightly at the opening of this week but the spotlight is still on a move towards the bottom end of the medium-term range, starting at 1.2227, notes Credit Suisse."We continue to expect a bounce here. However, if directly removed, this would expose the 1.2042 low of 2012 where we would expect a renewed basing effort," CS projects."Bigger picture, below 1.2042 would raise the prospect of a much more significant top, targeting 1.1876 next. Resistance moves to 1.2379 initially, then 1.2394 with 1.2441/57 expected to cap to keep the trend lower," CS adds. In line with this view, CS maintains a short EUR/USD position from 1.2500 targeting 1.2230.
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